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Oct 30

Major airlines have installed the third significant fare increase in as many weeks, according to Rick Seaney, the CEO of Farecompare.com

Yesterday morning, Seaney reports, AirTran “increased airfares by $6 and $10 roundtrip (based on distance) across the bulk of their route system. Shortly thereafter … American and Delta/Northwest matched on overlapping routes, while Continental took a further step matching on the bulk of their route system.”

Last night, “United and US Airways matched across the bulk of their respective route systems. This increase marks what appears to be well on its way to the 6th successful hike of 2009, all since June.”

He added, “Holiday travelers did get a bit of a break however today, as mixed in with the airfare increases several legacy carriers filed targeted off-peak “Holiday Airfares” (Turkey Fares), on the off-peak days around Thanksgiving and for Christmas and New Years Day. The widely matched deep discount 3-day off-peak winter sale started this past Tuesday by Southwest Airlines expires tonight, removing a big chunk of winter deals from the marketplace (for the moment).

“The volatility of airfare filings today simply underscores the continual tinkering that domestic airlines are doing as they hone in on price points reflect an uptick in demand but doesn’t scare off skittish travelers, and sounds another wakeup call for procrastinating holiday air travelers.”

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Oct 30

As of this morning, there had been no trace reported of a Brazilian single-engine transport with 11 aboard that went missing yesterday in the western Amazon.

The passengers were medical staff working in a campaign to provide vaccinations to in Indian settlements in the rain forest. Here’s a Bloomberg update this morning.

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Oct 29

[Photo: A C-98 Caravan similar to missing plane.]

The Brazilian Air Force said today that one of its transports, a Cessna C-98 Caravan aircraft, is missing in the Amazon.

The aircraft, with 11 on board, took off this morning from Cruzeiro do Sul in Acre state in the western Amazon, bound northeast for Tabatigna in Amazonas state.

A search is under way.

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Oct 29

Delays are mounting today at Denver International Airport as a slow-moving snowstorm stalled over the eastern front range of the Rockies.

According to Flightstats.com, as of 10.30 a.m. Mountain time today, 244 of the day’s scheduled 1,685 departures and arrivals had already been canceled.

Anyone bound for Denver or making a connection through Denver needs to check well ahead today, and probably for the next few days as the schedules sort themselves out.

Conditions are improving, though. Here’s a 10.30 a.m. update from Frontier Airlines, which was reporting delays of 3-4 hours at Denver but now says that’s lessening. However, Frontier says with engaging honesty, “departure times are rather fluid” today.

Here’s United’s far less-informative announcement. Come on, United — how hard is it to get some useful current information up about your Denver ops? Frontier did it.

The storm did not, by the way, dump a lot of snow (yet) on the central Rockies. I’m always amazed at how many people in the media fail to understand the difference between the high plains, the foothills and the Rockies, and the meaning of the continental divide.

And by the way,  what if the Rockies had made it to the World Series?

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Oct 29

A standard quarterly government report showing sharp air-fare declines in the second quarter is getting a lot of attention today, but really: What’s the point? The second quarter ended in June, and that news is …, well, it’s useless, frankly, to anyone interested in current fares.

As anyone interested in current fares knows, they’ve been going up steadily since the summer. Major airlines recently succeeded in installing their fifth successive nearly across-the-board fare hike since June (they’re a little less eager to hike fares on routes where there are discount competitors.)

I use Farecompare.com and the regular updates from its CEO Rick Seaney to stay on top of current fare trends. In the airline business, April, May and June were a long time ago.

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Oct 28

Morning update. Northwest/Delta pilots’ licenses yanked by F.A.A. And the Christian Science Monitor is asking the right questions.

David Lettermen did a Top 10 Reasons why the pilots overshot MSP. Among them:

… We get paid by the hour … Tired of that show-off Sullenberger getting all the attention … You try steering one of those airplanes after eight or nine cocktails … For a change, we decided to send luggage to the right city and lose the passengers. … Thought we saw Balloon Boy.

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Oct 27

There being a distinct difference between the attributions “investigators say” and “investigators say they were told,” it’s probably useful to have the text of the latest update by the National Transportation Safety Board on the bizarre incident involving a Northwest/Delta flight that overshot the Minneapolis airport by 150 miles last Wednesday night while the pilots claim they were “distracted.”

Here’s the NTSB report. The NTSB is next interviewing the three flight attendants.

The Wall Street Journal today (sorry if the link doesn’t work because of the pay wall) has some interesting information. According to the Journal report, which cites “people familiar with the details,” the “missteps began” when “a female flight attendant brought meals into the cockpit and the captain ducked out for a bathroom break.”

No approximate time is given for this meal service, but it certainly would have been well in advance of the time the pilots would have been expected to be preparing for arrival at Minneapolis.

The flight attendant and first officer then chatted in the cockpit “just as controllers were instructing the crew to switch to another radio frequency,” according to the Journal report, which added:

“The co-pilot, engaged in conversation with her, missed the instruction, and the captain didn’t return until later, according to consultant Greg Feith, a former [NTSB] investigator.”

Now just a darn minute here, as Deputy Barney Fife would say. Not only has the story changed, but now it appears as if the pilots were tuned to the wrong radio frequency, which accounts for them being out of contact with air-traffic control — on approach to a major international airport?

Bring on the flight attendants! We’re in for a bumpy ride as this story unfolds.

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Oct 26

[Updated with statement from Delta Air Lines at bottom]

The two Northwest/Delta pilots who overshot Minneapolis by 150 miles last week claim they were busy working out crew schedule procedures on their laptops and 1. Didn’t notice that they they had failed to descend to the destination airport for over an hour and 2. Failed to hear increasingly anxious calls from air-traffic control centers.

Since the old cockpit voice recorder in the Northwest A320 only records the most recent 30 minutes of a cockpit conversation, we may never know. As I said the other day, a good cop asking questions and matching up stories would have cracked this case by the end of the baseball game on Wednesday night.

Other pilots are having a good guffaw over it all, and I don’t think the laptop explanation is flying.

Here’s a link to the always informative and amusing JetWhine blog edited by Rob Mark, a pilot and aviation consultant. Rob has posted his Top 10 reasons the pilots overflew Minneapolis by 150 miles, while noting that “the only reason we can even poke a little fun at these two buffoons is no one was hurt.”

In comments, Rob’s readers added a few of their own “reasons,” including: Pilots were planning a reality-show audition … Pilots wanted to boost passengers’ frequent flier miles … Pilots took the term “nonstop flight” too seriously.

Me:  The Wisconsin foliage is lovely in October … “MSP” means Must-Skip Place…

***

Delta evidently isn’t buying the laptop excuse either. Here is a statement Delta issued late this afternoon:

“ATLANTA, Oct. 26 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ — Delta Air Lines today issued a statement regarding the company’s cooperation with the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) and the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) in the investigation of Northwest Flight 188. Delta and its Northwest operating subsidiary continue to openly and fully cooperate with the NTSB and FAA to complete the investigation. The pilots in command of Northwest Flight 188 remain suspended until the conclusion of the investigations into this incident.

“Using laptops or engaging in activity unrelated to the pilots’ command of the aircraft during flight is strictly against the airline’s flight-deck policies and violations of that policy will result in termination.

“Delta CEO Richard Anderson said: ‘Nothing is more important to Delta than safety. We are going to continue to cooperate fully with the NTSB and the FAA in their investigations.’

“The NTSB earlier today issued a public release highlighting the initial findings of its investigation into the incident, including evidence that the pilots involved said they were distracted at cruise altitude between San Diego and Minneapolis-St. Paul. The NTSB’s press release stated that the pilots said in interviews that “there was a concentrated period of discussion where they did not monitor the airplane or calls from ATC even though both stated they heard conversation on the radio … neither pilot noticed messages that were sent by company dispatchers … both said they lost track of time … (and) each pilot accessed and used his personal laptop computer while they discussed the airline crew flight scheduling procedure.”

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Oct 24

All right, all right: Now, what the heck happened here? Who saw what happened? And let’s cut out the guessing.

Of course, it’s wrong to expect immediate answers in an aviation accident, when investigators are working partly through mechanical and technological forensics, as well as with people who might be involved.

But the disturbing incident on Northwest/Delta Flight 188, which flew 150 miles northeast beyond its destination in Minneapolis Wednesday night, with the pilots not responding to increasingly anxious calls from various air-traffic-control centers, does not appear to have been the result of an accident — or at least an accident whose causes can’t be immediately determined.

Instead, it appears as if some person or persons might have done something wrong and/or negligent, and potentially put in danger the lives of everyone on board.

So what the heck happened here?

A cop would ask: Who knows the facts?

Well, the two pilots certainly know, but so far they’ve been able to get away without giving public answers beyond what the co-pilot, Richard I. Cole, blabbered to KGW-TV, Portland, Ore.:

“Nobody was asleep in the cockpit. No arguments took place. But other than that, I cannot tell you anything that went on because we’re having hearings this weekend, we’re having hearings on Tuesday. All that information will come out then.” The TV report said that Cole declared that there is “a lot of misinformation that’s going on. Things are being said that didn’t happen, but I can’t go into any details.”

Oh, well, thanks for clearing that up, cap’n. You are aware, I suppose, that the statement that “there were no arguments at all in the cockpit” appears to contradict the statement the pilots gave to the FBI upon landing, in which they claimed, according to the National Transportation Safety Board, that they had been involved in a “heated discussion over airline policy and they lost situational awareness.”

(By the way, the KGW reporter, who is not identified in this raw footage of the interview on the station’s Web site, went to the co-pilot’s home in Salem, Ore., and knocked on the door, which used to be Journalism 101, standard practice. To his credit, he also pressed the co-pilot on the few answers he did give, such as the denial that anything untoward had occurred in the cockpit. “Then what distracted you for 150 miles?” the reporter persisted before the co-pilot politely closed the door.)

Incidentally, airline pilots are understandably a little cranky these days, not only over crappy working conditions but over issues like seniority when two airlines merge, as Delta and Northwest have. This is not to say that’s what they were arguing (or not arguing) about for a whole 78 minutes, though.

So who else knows what happened?

Well, the three flight attendants certainly know something. The flight continued on for over an hour beyond the airport, with the cockpit unresponsive to calls from the ground, while emergency officials considered scrambling military jets. (Remember, if these guys were asleep, a cockpit door is locked and supposedly impenetrable in flight, meaning  a flight attendant could not have barged in and shaken someone awake if something went really wrong).

Unless the whole crew had been rendered temporarily unconscious by some kind of magical knockout drops that had no effect on the passengers, flight attendants (who generally don’t miss a trick) certainly had at least some of the “situational awareness” that the pilots claim they misplaced during those strange 78 minutes in the cockpit. Yet we have not heard word one, as far as I know, from the flight attendants.

And some of the passengers knew something — despite risible media reports that stated that passengers did not have “a clue” that anything was amiss.

The few passengers who reporters could find to interview didn’t have a clue because they appear to be clueless. I guarantee you that a good number of people on that airplane had more “situational awareness” than the pilots, if less than the flight attendants. I guarantee you many were aware that something was amiss, especially as the plane droned on for 150 miles past its destination. People have watches and can look out a window, and they certainly can read body language and a situation in which no announcement is forthcoming from the cockpit (or from the front galley, evidently) explaining why the plane was over an hour late, and appeared to have sailed beyond a major metropolitan area like Minneapolis-St. Paul.

This is a matter of public safety. And I don’t think there is a “mystery.” I think it’s a cover-up, which I hope comes to an end soon, because the flying public deserves to know what is going on. We’ve allowed commercial aviation in this country to become uniquely unaccountable in many instances — something we would not put up with in any other form of public transportation.

I have no doubt the National Transportation Safety Board will dig this out — and get it out.

But let’s us in the media stop being coy about the issue of accountability. This is a case for a cop with the power of arrest (as would be the case if, say, a city bus barreled down the wrong route for over an hour, and the driver declined to discuss the “mystery” of why). Or even a reporter refusing to accept “no comment” as a satisfactory response. (Again, credit to that unnamed KGW-TV reporter).

What the heck happened here, and who’s lying and who’s laying low, and why?

When will we get the straight story?

We shouldn’t have to depend on a cockpit voice recorder (and one that was evidently so old that it only records about 30 minutes at a time) to get that story. A good cop would have straightened it out by the time the ballgame was over Wednesday night.

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By the way, someone who sounds like a pilot takes issue with my saying yesterday that the flight was in “crowded airspace” as it approached (and blithely departed) the Minneapolis-St. Paul area at 37,000 feet. The airspace at 37,000 feet is not “crowded,” I am informed — as if I don’t have some uniquely personal “situational awareness” of what constitutes “crowded” at 37,000 feet, having survived a mid-air collision at precisely that altitude. It’s sort of a matter of definition, I think. Airspace around a major international airport is more crowded than airspace not around a major international airport.

But I do take the point — and in fact, given that same correspondent’s follow-up comment that airspace at 37,000 feet is not crowded under any circumstances, I hereby stand corrected on that point.

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Oct 23

[Updated with CNN report: Controllers feared hijacking AFTER talking to an "nonresponsive" pilot]

Oops, a Northwest/Delta A320 with 147 passengers on board overflew the Minneapolis airport by 150 miles, with the pilots failing to respond to radio calls Wednesday night.

Upon landing after the … uh, sojourn, the pilots told the FBI and airport police that “they were in a heated discussion over airline policy and they lost situational awareness,” according to the National Transportation Safety Board in an initial advisory on the incident.

Thank God this alleged heated discussion didn’t escalate into a knock-down drag-out fist-fighting, hair-pulling, shrieking brawl, like that recent incident on an Air India flight where the pilots left the cockpit in flight over Pakistan to get into a donnybrook with flight attendants in the front of the plane.

Obviously, two pilots in a cockpit on approach to a major airport who overshoot it and fly on blissfully for 78 minutes, failing to acknowledge radio calls, sounds an awful lot like two pilots who were asleep, assuming they weren’t involved in some “heated discussion” that caused them to forget where the hell they were. Which happens to have been in the crowded airspace of a major international airport.

More to come on this fiasco, you can bet.

[Update}: Like this report on CNN (quoting an unnamed federal source) saying that controllers feared the plane had been hijacked AFTER they finally made contact with the cockpit and found a pilot so "nonresponsive" that they ordered the crew to execute certain "maneuvers" to provide evidence that the pilots in fact were in control of the plane.]

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