Monthly Archive for April, 2010

The First Frontier E190

Embraer 190s have been operating for Republic out of Milwaukee, and a few out of Denver as well, but they’ve been in Midwest colors. That changed yesterday when Republic unveiled its latest E-190, registered N174HQ, in Frontier colors. The aircraft enters service tomorrow.

The newest spokesanimal is a badger, Wisconsin’s state animal, which pays homage to Midwest’s heritage. The badger, however, has yet to be named. That’s up to travelers, who can make their suggestions here, which I think is a nice move. I like what Republic is doing here by trying to show respect to Wisconsin, Milwaukee, and Midwest. While I think most understand the branding decision, the Midwest name is well-loved and will be missed.

Anyway, I’m interested in seeing all of the new spokesanimals. Will there be brand new ones, or will some be coming back? (Some have been retired thanks to the E-170s Republic operated for Frontier a few years ago, and the Lynx Q400s are being retired.)

Click on image to enlarge.
Photo Credit: Frontier.

A Slightly Puzzling News Release from WestJet

The future alliance plans of WestJet have been a big issue ever since the Canadian carrier’s new CEO, Gregg Saretsky, said in an interview that the company was interested in pursuing a partnership with Delta. In the following weeks, Southwest and WestJet had announced that their plans to form an alliance were scrapped. Then, during Delta’s earnings call CEO Richard Anderson said that Delta has “reached an alliance agreeement with WestJet.”

Then, earlier this week WestJet issued this short news release:

WestJet clarified comments made by Delta Air Lines in Delta’s first quarter conference call that an alliance agreement between Delta and WestJet had been reached. WestJet has not signed an alliance agreement with Delta, but a commercial relationship could occur in the future. The only recently signed agreement between Delta Air Lines and WestJet provided WestJet with the option to acquire slots at LaGuardia Airport in New York City; this agreement is still subject to U.S. regulatory approval.

Interesting. What was the motivation behind this? On one hand, WestJet might want to clarify things for investors on the current state of partnerships. Plus, the DOT has said that it doesn’t want LaGuardia slots going to codeshare partners, so that could be a factor. Or maybe Delta just jumped the gun on announcing this?

Updated at 10:17 AM, because I forgot to proofread. Oops.

Southwest Shows Phoenix Some LUV

Oh, Phoenix, you’ve been a huge Southwest operation for years. In fact, you’re the airline’s third-largest city with 178 daily departures. But lately, I feel that you’ve been pretty lonely, with all the big hub action happening up north in Denver. But fortunately, Southwest showed you some LUV yesterday, announcing new service to Minneapolis and Boston.

Photo Credit: gTarded on Flickr.

As one might expect, there’s some competition on these routes already. Not surprisingly, Delta’s already on Minneapolis-Phoenix,  and US Airways has nonstop service on both routes already.

Southwest will be flying two daily flights to Minneapolis, and that makes sense since it’s the bigger market. In the third quarter of last year (the latest that’s available), there were 1,241 O&D passengers on the route, compared to 649 passengers for Boston, which only sees one nonstop. Minneapolis is also the higher-yielding market with 11.1 cents/mile, compared to 9.2 cents/mile for Boston. (Data from the Consumer Air Fare Report.) It should also be noted that Southwest has already been flying these routes with one-stop flights.

So what’s Southwest hoping for here? Well, in the blog post announcing the new service scheduling god Bill Owen mentioned that they are (of course) looking for O&D traffic, but this opens up connecting opportunities as well. From what I can see, the service doesn’t really open up any new markets – both Boston and Minneapolis can easily get access to the West via Chicago or Denver – but these flights are well-timed to create more convenient itineraries. Continue reading ‘Southwest Shows Phoenix Some LUV’

Frontier to Install Gogo on E-Jets

When it was announced that Frontier and Midwest would consolidate under the Frontier name, Republic said that they plan to have “some form” of IFE “available in each of our aircraft by 2011.” When I wrote about the announcement, I wondered if that meant Gogo would be coming to the fleet, and last week Frontier announced that the E-Jets would be installed with Gogo for inflight internet access.

Frontier is currently known for its seatback entertainment provided by LiveTV – so why go with Aircell here? I have to think cost and time were the biggest factors here. To get LiveTV, an E-Jet aircraft would a seat upgrade to install the screens, and plus there’s a bunch of wiring involved. That takes time, and it’s expensive. Meanwhile, Aircell has been touting for awhile about its seamless installation process – the company can set up an aircraft overnight. Frontier is taking advantage of that speed, as all 32 E170/E190 aircraft will have the service by the end of this year.

So my best guess here is that Frontier wanted some form of IFE in its fleet, and quickly, and Aircell can provide that. So now there are two things I want to see – will the Airbus fleet end up with Wi-Fi eventually? And, what about the ERJs currently operating out of Milwaukee? Republic did say that “each of our aircraft” will have IFE, though I can’t say I’m really expecting anything to be installed on the E135/E145s.

Geek Test Answer – Southwest’s Florida One

Last week I posted Southwest’s YouTube video showing the making of Florida One and asked what was wrong with it – and most people caught on very quickly. :D The first half of the video really wasn’t Florida One – it was just Boeing stock footage. As you can see here, the fuselage in the center of the frame can’t be Florida One – that’s a 737-800, and based on the winglet it’s bound for Virgin Blue.

Other than that, a great video – as I always enjoy the time lapses of aircraft being painted. Some commenters also pointed out an interesting artistic choice with the depiction of the state seal on the right side of the aircraft – something I would not have noticed on my own!

On a side note, what does everyone think of “geek tests”? Should I keep doing them? So far, they have been very popular hit-wise. :D

Want to Help Your Airline’s Bottom Line? Don’t Use Miles!

Of course, that title is in jest, but there was an interesting SEC filing from United last week. Be forewarned – this post is especially dorky since it combines airlines and accounting. :D

When you accrue miles, United (or any airline) records it as a liability, since those miles represent a service the company has yet to provide. (The same thing happens when you pay for a ticket – that’s recorded as a liability before you fly as well). Later that liability makes its way to revenue.

But, not all miles are used before they expire. And naturally any carrier would like to get that liability off its balance sheet and recognize that revenue. The carriers use history to estimate how many miles will go unused. On Friday, United said that it has “obtained additional historical data, previously unavailable, which has enabled the Company to refine its breakage estimates. This new data indicates that a larger number of miles than previously estimated are expected to expire.”

United says that this change represents “$64 million of incremental passenger revenue in the first quarter of 2010,” and we should see similar numbers for the rest of the year. The carrier also says the move boosts March PRASM performance by two percentage points.

Of course, this revenue would have been recognized eventually anyway, but United’s just doing it sooner. And it’s just interesting that a small accounting change can provide a nice little chunk of extra revenue.

Southwest Unveils Florida One (And Another Geek Test)

For weeks, plane dorks have been guessing what made N945WN special. There were rumors, and many tried to figure out what Southwest had up its sleeve. Many wondered if a new state livery was coming, and those who guessed that were correct – the new 737-700 has been painted as Florida One, joining the rest of Southwest’s special fleet.

Southwest unveiled a cool video showing the aircraft being manufactured and painted. But there are a bunch of things wrong with the video…so that means its time for another geek test! :D

YouTube Preview Image

As always, leave your answers/guesses in the comments!

SkyWest For AirTran – Early Performance

A few months ago AirTran and SkyWest announced an interesting partnership together. SkyWest, looking for a new home for idle CRJs, decided to fly them out of Milwaukee in partnership with AirTran. But instead of a traditional regional agreement, SkyWest would be doing this flying at risk, and is currently flying the CRJs to six cities in its own colors. The DOT traffic data for January just came out, and that includes data for the first four cities (the last two came in February), so I decided to take a peek. Here are the load factors:

Akron-Canton’s performance wasn’t too hot. It was a brand new city for Milwaukee service. Indianapolis, Pittsburgh, and St. Louis performed much better – especially the last of the three. These three cities were all large enough to merit mainline service from AirTran, though the carrier felt that RJs would work better schedule-wise, apparently – and I agree. With three CRJs you only have a bit more capacity than a 737-700 but with a more convenient schedule.

Of course, we can’t derive revenue performance from these results but loads do give us an idea. Plus, AirTran’s schedule moves also provide good hints. Each of these cities started with three daily roundtrips. Akron-Canton has since been cut back to two daily roundtrips, and Omaha, which started in February, sees a similar cut.

This is certainly an interesting partnership, and we’ll have to wait and see how it develops. I wonder, will SkyWest add any more cities out of Milwaukee? Could this partnership be extended to other AirTran hubs?

Yields Continue to Surge Ahead

Yesterday, the ATA released yield data for the past month, and the numbers continue to improve. Of course, the fact that we’re comparing off of progressively craptastic numbers helps. But considering that comparisons to 2008 and 2007 look good, and look better than last month, I think we’re seeing some good improvement here. (Though we’ll have to see what happens as 2008 comparisons get harder.) I’m also interested in seeing what the who ash cloud does to Atlantic yields for American carriers. Total revenues will probably be down a good amount but there will be a decrease in RPMs as well. Anyway, I’ll shut up now – here are the results:

JetBlue Heads to Hartford

Well, this was rumored last week, but yesterday JetBlue officially announced that it would be launching service to Hartford beginning on November 17. The airport will a total of four daily departures – two to Orlando, and two to Fort Lauderdale. The new flying increases competition on existing route but also opens up some nice connecting opportunities to the Caribbean.

The routes do face some competition. Southwest is a player on the Orlando route, with three nonstops. Recently Southwest has also been flying a nonstop to Fort Lauderdale, but only on Saturdays. But in addition to its usual hub flying, Delta flies to Florida from Hartford as well. The airline serves Orlando, Fort Lauderdale, Tampa, and West Palm nonstop from Hartford – some of that flight has been taken over by mainline Delta from the defunct airline-within-an-airline concepts Song and Delta Express.

My guess is that JetBlue is hoping that Delta might cut some flying here, especially when it comes to Lauderdale – the carrier has already reduced capacity on that route by turning it into seasonal flying. Right now the nonstop will cease next week on the 30th and will return on November 20. Then, on December 16 a second daily flight is scheduled to be added.

Of course, as a loyal Providence flyer, this announcement makes me hopeful. No, I don’t think a JetBlue announcement is eminent or anything like that, but nevertheless it’s nice to see some growth in New England that isn’t out of Boston.

Southwest and WestJet Call It Quits

Hello, and welcome back to another exciting edition of “Airline Soap Opera Theater”! Where we last left off, low cost carriers Southwest and WestJet were preparing to consummate their cross-border relationship, but it kept getting delayed when Southwest’s work on the IT side of things took longer than expected. And then, WestJet’s new CEO said in an interview that they were interested in a partnership with Delta.

Not surprisingly, on Friday Southwest announced that it would be ending its partnership with WestJet – before the two carriers even started exchanging passengers.  Southwest says that WestJet requested “a number of changes” in the agreement, and has decided that having each airline go its own was a better idea. While we won’t know for sure, my guess is that Southwest wanted to be WestJet’s sole American partner, and WestJet started to not like that idea.

Of course, in my book, it’s not the news that is the most interesting, but what each airline will go on to do.

First, let’s look at WestJet. If a partnership with Delta actually develops that makes them even closer to SkyTeam (a partnership with AF-KLM already exists). It’d be interesting to see if they end up joining the alliance, as that’d be a first for an LCC. But it would make sense for SkyTeam – with Air Canada already tied up in Star WestJet is really the only other viable option to play ball in Canada.

Another interesting aspect of a Delta-WestJet partnership is the slot swap, an item that Southwest recently brought up in a filing regarding the compromise suggested by US Airways and Delta. Under the FAA’s proposed ruling, the airlines shouldn’t give up slots to codeshare partners. So, if Delta and WestJet were to codeshare, would that put WestJet’s possible YYZ-LGA flights in further jeopardy? I think we might have to wait on the DOT for that one.

And what about Southwest? The company’s EVP of Strategy and Planning, Bob Jordan, remarked that “we remain interested in exploring the possibility of one day offering service to Canada if it makes sense for Southwest and for our Customers. That would not rule out future codeshare relationships with Canadian carriers, or flying north of the border ourselves.”

It would certainly be interesting if Southwest were to go it alone here, but I’m not sure how interested they would be – I don’t think that any potential Canadian stations could really generate the frequency that they usually like to have. Plus, when the WestJet deal was first announced Southwest was very clear that they didn’t want their own metal touching Canadian soil – WestJet would take care of all the operations. That being said, maybe Southwest learned a thing or two about the Canadian market as it got the codeshare ready.

And what about Canadian partners? The only airline really left here is Porter. It would only take care of the Eastern half of Canada but it would be at least something. And it would make sense, I think. Porter’s range is limited thanks to the very short runway at its Toronto base – and a codeshare with Southwest could really open some opportunities to the West. Porter already flies to Midway and from my experience it is a pretty easy airport to have a connection – and it would become even easier once Billy Bishop Airport, Porter’s base, has pre-clearance facilities, it will become even easier.

As always – we’ll have to see.