Earlier this month, Republic Airways Holdings announced that it had inked a deal to operate eight Embraer 170 aircraft for Delta Connection later this year, a move that builds on an existing partnership between the two companies. Republic subsidiaries Shuttle America and Chautauqua Airlines operate Embraer 175s and 145s, respectively, under the Delta Connection banner.
These eight E170s are currently in service with Republic’s branded business, Frontier Airlines. I was intrigued that the news release announcing the deal mentioned that the E170 flying would be replaced with Embraer 145 regional jets and Bombardier Q400s. I was interested in how permanent the move was, and fortunately I was able to speak with Daniel Shurz, Republic’s Vice President of Strategy and Planning a couple of weeks ago to discuss the changes.

The A319 makes up the largest part of Frontier’s fleet. Photo credit: Jay Bowie.
Daniel told me that in the past Frontier had “laid out a fleet vision that already had the 170s leaving the Frontier business over the course of the two years from summer 2011 through spring 2013.”
“In an ideal world you’d have everything match up” in terms of aircraft leaving and entering the fleet, but Frontier was not “likely to end up with that scenario,” said Daniel. “What we’re doing essentially is sending 170s to Delta earlier than 190s arrive as new delivery aircraft. Our first new delivery of a 190 is scheduled for August of this year under the agreement we have with Embraer.”
Republic announced this past summer that it would acquire 24 new E-Jets from the middle of this year for its branded service. So far all of the aircraft being delivered will be E190s, though Republic has the option to convert these orders to E195s if it desires.
So, how is Frontier adjusting in the interim? As Republic announced, there will be additional E145 and Q400 flying, but Daniel also told me that Frontier has “temporarily extend the operation of two of our 318s through the summer as well.”
When it comes down to the details, Frontier “will have three scheduled lines of Q400 flying, three additional scheduled lines of 145 flying, and two additional lines of 318 flying replacing eight lines of 170s going to Delta,” Daniel said, adding that “it’s pretty close to a one-for-one replacement.”
Daniel did mention, however that one of the Q400 aircraft “is essentially dedicated to Aspen and that wouldn’t have been operated if the Q400s weren’t in the schedule,” so essentially Frontier has “replaced eight airplanes with seven airplanes.”
All of the additional E145 flying will be out of Frontier’s Milwaukee hub, and will be reduced as E190s are delivered. According to Daniel, Frontier has yet to decide if the additional E190s or remaining E170s will then be moved to Milwaukee.
Meanwhile, Frontier still plans to remove all E170s from branded service by the summer of 2013, and expects to remove the last Airbus A318 from its fleet by the end of this year.
I was also interested to ask Daniel about some of the more longer-term changes in Frontier’s fleet, especially the Bombardier CSeries 300. Republic became the North American launch customer of the type when it announced an order for the type nearly one year ago. Republic is currently slated to receive its first CS300 in the second quarter of 2015.
I was interested in how the CS300 will fit into Frontier’s fleet, as it’s just about the size of Frontier’s A319 aircraft, though the airline has also been growing its fleet of larger A320s. Daniel said that “the CS300 is fundamentally a 319 replacement.” He added that the aircraft is “too small to be a 320 replacement in one sense,” but “we obviously expect significantly reduced operating costs on the CS300 compared to today’s Airbus narrowbodies. You could make an argument that you could get by with just the CSeries.” Even though the aircraft is smaller than the A320, an airline could “take advantage of lower operating costs to run higher frequencies in some cases,” said Daniel.
I was also interested in some of Frontier’s recent Airbus moves. The majority of its upcoming new aircraft are A320s, but it is also taking on three ex-Mexicana A319s as well. Daniel said “it’s likely our new lease acquisitions will be 320s.”
Daniel provided additional background on the A319 aircraft, saying that “when Mexicana collapsed, we were lucky on timing… The lessor in question had a strong incentive to get the airplanes back into service so we found ourselves with reasonably attractive pricing.”
“What we’re finding in general in the new aircraft market is that the 319 and 320 lease prices are not that different. The unit cost of the 320 is clearly superior, so we’re taking advantage of the fact that we wanted to grow the 320 fleet,” said Daniel.
Many thanks to Daniel for being willing to spend some time with me, and to Frontier’s PR department for arranging the interview.
Republic is set to hold its fourth quarter earnings call on Wednesday, so it will be interesting to see if any interesting announcements come out of that.
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