Last week, Porter Airlines announced new service from its base at Billy Bishop Toronto City Airport (YTZ) to Moncton (YQM). The fact that the flight makes a stop in Ottawa, just like the airline’s Halifax service, got me thinking about Porter’s future, especially in terms of their future destinations.
Porter operates a fleet of Q400s, which is a very capable airplane. I’ve yet to fly in one but from what I’ve heard, it’s pretty comfortable inside and also is very good economics-wise compared to similar jets. It also has decent range. According to to Bombardier’s maps on its website, Air Canada would be able to fly a Jazz Q400 from Toronto to Miami if they wanted. But, unfortunately, Porter most likely wouldn’t be able to because of its base at YTZ.
That’s because airport’s runways aren’t very long – 8/26, the longest, measures only 3,988 feet. For context purposes, Bombardier says a Q400 with 70 passengers going on a 500nm haul (about 575 miles or or 926 kilometers), 3,726 feet of runway is required. That number is based on a “standard day” of 59 degrees, so that requirement goes up during the summer.
So, how limited is Porter out of its home base? Well, the best way to guess is to look at the longest routes on the airline’s route map. Right now, that’s the seasonal Myrtle Beach service that operates twice a week, which goes away this summer. That route comes in at 687 miles. During the summer, the longest route flown by Porter is Toronto-Thunder Bay, which is 579 miles long. So, using the always-handy Great Circle Mapper, we can take a look at those ranges out of the airport, and we can see that Moncton and Halifax are both out of reach, which makes it appear why stops in Ottawa are needed.

Of course, these are just my best guesses as to what Porter can do with from YTZ without some kind of weight restrictions. And there are plenty of more cities the airline can serve easily from its home base. But eventually, there’s a limit. So what can Porter do? One option is to pursue more point-to-point routes that aren’t from Toronto.
Or another way for the airline to expand its reach is through a codeshare agreement with another carrier. The problem is figuring out who that would be. My guess is that it would make sense for Porter to link up its route network to the hub of an American carrier that can send traffic to destinations that Porter just can’t reach with its current fleet – like the West Coast. Actually, it pretty much has to be an American carrier who will be Porter’s partner. It’s not like a European carrier can fly to YTZ!
I’d count out any Star Alliance carriers thanks to Porter’s rivalry with Air Canada. Skyteam (Delta) could work, but apparently they’re interested in WestJet right now. Since WestJet might partner with Delta first, one might assume that a Porter-Southwest partnership could work out considering Porter’s existing MDW service. If WestJet continues to buddy up with Skyteam carriers, oneworld will be completely shut out of Canada so Porter might be the best option for them and American. One would assume Chicago service would be needed to move to O’Hare. JetBlue works as well, considering Porter’s existing Boston operation, though New York service would need to be moved to JFK. Though one issue with a JetBlue partnership is time – passengers heading west would backtrack a bit by connecting in JFK or BOS.
Anyway, Porter still has some major cities missing from its route map that it can serve easily – Philadelphia and Washington, D.C. seem to stick out the most to me. But the range of the Q400 out of YTZ does make me think about how Porter will expand in the years to come.
Anyway, since this is one of my long, rambling, speculation-filled posts, I’d love to hear your comments.
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