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United Fined for Not Violating Three-Hour Rule

United Airlines has been fined by the Department of Transportation for not violating the new tarmac delay rule.

Really.

First – a little bit of background. United had four flights in May that were bound for Denver, but had to divert to Colorado Springs due to poor weather conditions. They sat in Colorado springs for over three hours, so United reported them to the DOT as flights that had tarmac delays over three hours.

The incidents were reported in the July Air Travel Consumer Report, which contained delay data for May.

Once United had reported these delays to the DOT, they were investigated further. United then determined that in fact the flights did not violate the rule – passengers were given free food and water and were also allowed to deplane if they so desired.

According to DOT regulations, the clock on the three hour rule stops ticking once passengers can leave.

So what does the DOT do? Fine United for wasting their time, of course! The total fine is $12,000 – $6,000 of which is paid now. The other $6,000 will only be paid in the event of any other violations by United.

This just seems silly to me. Did United screw up? Yes.

But this was the first month where the DOT was enforcing the new rule – so this was a bit new to everyone, I think. Not to mention, United screwed up when they said they didn’t – the airline did not benefit from this move. That’s a lot better than, say, not reporting an actual issue to the DOT.

Here’s how this should have been handled – the DOT should have said that they found United did not violate the rule, and they are glad that airlines are taking the three hour rule seriously. It would have been a nice PR opportunity for both parties – the DOT can say the rule is benefiting consumers and United can say they’re committed taking care of their customers.

Instead, Uncle Sam gets a whopping six grand and airlines become more discouraged about being transparent with regulators.

Houston – Aspen: A Very Interesting Addition from United

Some interesting route news came out this week – beginning on January 4, United will launch once-daily service from Houston to Aspen, operated with SkyWest CRJ-700s. The seasonal service will run through April 2.

Photo Credit: SkyWest.

The new flights complement United’s existing service to Denver (the busiest route), Chicago, Los Angeles, and San Francisco.

OK – enough with the facts – time for speculation! (Because that’s more fun!)

I think it’s a fair argument hat this route wouldn’t be happening if United was not merging with Continental (or, at the very least, codesharing).

The timing of this announcement is also very interesting. It would make me think that Aspen-Houston service has been on Continental’s radar for awhile, but just could not do it on their own.

I saw that because Aspen is a funny little airport. Local ordinances prohibit aircraft with a wingspan over 96 feet from operating there. Plus, takeoff runs are longer at high altitude, futher restricting the type of aircraft that can fly and/or payload. (A recently-approved runway extension project should help with this.)

So if we look at Continental’s regional fleet, I just don’t think they had the aircraft to do it, at least without serious weight restrictions. The ERJ-145 and CRJ-200 are probably a no-no, and same goes for the Saab 340. Dash-8 aircarft have been used out of Aspen – Mesa used to fly them for US Airways and United, and Frontier uses the Q400.

But the longest route I can find is Aspen to Phoenix – and a flight to Houston is 86% longer, so it might not work out as well. Plus that means Continental would have to move Colgan and/or Commutair aircraft over to Houston.

So it would appear that the SkyWest CRJ-700 is the best aircraft for the route – and it has the legs for it – as it was used by Delta to fly to Atlanta.

And I think this is a smart move from a network perspective – Houston opens up a bunch of connection opportunities.

But the big question this opens up – how will a merged United adjust its regional network? This is something Delta has done. For example, one can now find CRJ-700s flying out of Detroit.

And realigning regional networks also makes me think of scope. Since Houston is a Continental hub, the regional flying that can happen there is limited. The only allowed 70-seaters are props. So it would be interesting to see if any other CRJ-700 flights pop up in Houston.

Scope is a big issue for all pilots – but especially so at United and Continental, as the former’s scope clause with its pilots is much less restrictive. And the merger presents a big opportunity for the two pilot groups to make a big change about outsourcing – something that they are already taking very seriously.

The Dulles-National Shuttle: Great Service From United

For some reason or another, my thoughts on my first trip on United got a good amount of traffic. It included a couple of minor complaints. So I think it is only fair to write about a good experience I had on United on the way back from Oshkosh, now two weeks ago. (I’m almost done playing catch-up, promise!)

After an exhausting (but very enjoyable) few days covering Oshkosh, it was time for me and Jon Ostrower aka Flightblogger to head home to DC. The first leg of our journey was a quick hop from Appleton to O’Hare on United Express, operated by an ERJ-145 in ExpressJet colors. The flight was good – hell, the pilots up front were some of the nicest I’ve seen on any airline all year. They thanked the passengers for flying United more than any United employee did. (Just sayin’.)

Next up was an A319 flight to National (DCA). Unfortunately, my upgrade didn’t clear, but I was seated in Economy Plus. Plus, I was in seat 12A to boot, which has no seat in front of it. Add an empty middle seat and it was pretty nice! The flight went very smoothly – I was very happy that the captain had Channel 9 on, which I listened to during taxi and the first 15 minutes of flight, then I switched to music.

Once I noticed we had started our descent, I went back to Channel 9 – and the bad news began to come in. The weather had not been kind to National, apparently, and things were moving very slowly at the airport. The flight was placed into a holding pattern. It soon became clear that we didn’t have enough fuel to wait it out, so the decision was made to divert to Dulles.

Of course, the cool thing about Channel 9 is that you get to hear about this at the same time as the crew. But for those who weren’t listening, the captain and first officer were constantly updating passengers. Yeah, it wasn’t great news, but it was nice to be kept in the loop.

After landing at Dulles, we were first told that we wouldn’t be able to deplane. But a few minutes later we were told that a jetway operator was found, and people could get off if they wished, but checked luggage would have to be retrieved at National. This news made people happier, and most passengers decided to leave.

I wasn’t sure what to do – so I consulted with Jon. In the end we concluded that we would wait it out and fly to National. A cab from Dulles to downtown DC takes awhile and is expensive, anyway. Plus, let’s be honest – you have to earn some airplane dork points for being on an IAD-DCA flight. So we waited it out.

In the meantime, the flight attendants came through the cabin offering coffee. I asked for water and received it very quickly.

Soon enough, we were off on our way to National – never going higher than 7,000 feet. It was a cool, short little flight that I’ll remember for awhile.

Anyway – I just wanted to say that the crew on United flight 626 on July 29 did an awesome job. Despite having to deal with some annoying weather conditions, they never lost their cool. The pilots did a fantastic job of keeping everyone informed, and the flight attendants kept on taking care of passengers – with a smile, no less! Color me impressed.

Some Thoughts on SkyWest And ExpressJet

I swear. I’m cursed. A big announcement always happens at the worst time for me – like during an exam period at school or, in my case last week, when I take a day off of work when SkyWest decides they want to buy ExpressJet, where the Continental Express provider will be merged into the Atlantic Southeast Airlines (ASA) division. I figure by now everyone has heard about the story, so I wanted to share some thoughts.

The news probably isn’t a huge shock to anyone considering SkyWest tried an acquisition that failed back in 2008.

So why do it again? I see a couple of reasons.

One is diversification. SkyWest’s flying is (roughly) split 50-50 between Delta and United, with a smidge of that for the small operation out of Milwaukee for AirTran. Adding another carrier to the mix helps SkyWest as it mitigates risk – if a carrier is to duck out, it represents a smaller part of SkyWest’s operation.

But this move makes a lot more sense to me if we look at this deal in the context of the Continental and United merger, which still looks on track to close later this year. For fun, I decided to figure out what regional would have the biggest share at a merged carrier, if everything were to continue as it did today. This graph is organized by parent company, so SkyWest, ASA, and ExpressJet are all rolled up into one, here.

A couple of caveats – the graph does include the 10 ERJs ExpressJet is flying for United this summer. Also, I’m including at-risk/pro-rate flying as well, which SkyWest does with some CRJ-200s and E-120s for United, and what Colgan does with its Saabs for both airlines. I figured that it can be hard to figure out how much is at-risk or under a CPA, especially with some of the smaller airlines. Which leads me to another exception – in many cases it’s a bit hard to find a very accurate fleet count for some of these regionals, so this is my best guess.

Either way – I think the point gets across. SkyWest will be a very powerful regional partner with a lot of bargaining power at a merged United, assuming it goes through. Let’s break down that 68.6% for Skywest. That’s composed of 36.7 points worth of ExpressJet, and 31.9 points for SkyWest.

So, basically, SkyWest more than doubles its presence at a merged United by acquiring ExpressJet. That makes them very powerful, and dare I say it, more irreplaceable. When all the divisions are combined, SkyWest now has over 400 regional aircraft at the combined carrier. There are other players out there for sure, but replacing that many aircraft would probably require a decent-sized order, perhaps with the cash of the mainline partner.

But what about the future of ExpressJet here? Many have (rightly) said that there are too many smaller RJs in the market and the planes just aren’t all the attractive. And the fleet of ExpressJet E135s sitting out in the desert is a testament to that. 70-seaters have been all the rage for the past couple of years.

Unfortunately, ExpressJet has a very uncompetitive fleet as they’ve been wedded to the Continental scope clause, which doesn’t allow larger regional jets. (Hence the use of Q400s.) So why buy the airline? And what happens in the future?

Well, SkyWest got a ten-year capacity purchase agreement from Continental, so they can put off worrying about it for awhile. Plus the ERJ’s are Continental’s problem – even better.

As to the future fleet, more 70-seaters are natural, but the exact future is completely up in the air right now thanks to the merger. I am very interested in how the scope clause at the new United looks. As I mentioned earlier, Continental can’t use large RJs, while United has a crapload. Scope will undoubtedly be a big issue as a single contract for both pilot groups is worked out.

Meanwhile, I wonder what the feelings are among ExpressJet employees right now. I get the sense that things haven’t been the greatest ever since the airline’s attempt to go independent didn’t work out all that nicely. On one hand, there will be a loss of seniority, but this does look like a more stable future.

United’s Interesting Economy Plus Promotion

For years, United’s Economy Plus has been pretty basic – an economy seat with a few extra inches of legroom (the exact amount varies by aircrafttype). But I discovered an interesting promotion via Twitter last week – from August 6 to August 16, those seated in Economy Plus will receive one complimentary alcoholic beverage. I found the airline’s decision to (temporarily) add some more value to the product very interesting.

This could be a one-off quick promotion to try to increase Economy Plus sales in August. Maybe August is a weaker time for sales. I honestly have no idea. As always, reading more into something than necessary is more fun, though. :D

What could be more interesting is if United ever decided to  make this (or any other additional perks – like food) a permanent feature of the product. There are a couple of benefits to such a move. United’s been very big on ancillary revenue, and this could help there.

To give a hypothetical, let’s say there’s someone flying from Denver to Seattle, and they want a drink – that costs $6. But if the free drink encourages said passenger to buy Economy Plus, that ancillary revenue turns into $49. The margin on that passenger gets even better – the only additional cost incurred by United is the alcohol, as everything else Economy Plus-related has already been paid for.

This could also be a nice perk for elites. United’s elites get free booze when they get upgraded to First with unlimited domestic upgrades. But if the upgrade doesn’t clear, they’ll most likely be in Economy Plus, so that makes the experience of elites a bit more enjoyable.

Anyway, I’m probably reading a hell of a lot into a quick and basic promotion, but I’d love it if United begins to differentiate Economy Plus a bit more and turns it into a true premium economy offering.

Guest Post: The Family Trees of United and Continental

Thankfully, my good friend Court sent me a guest post last night. Which is awesome, since I didn’t have to write anything. Especially considering my travel this week, including a diversion that yielded a rare IAD-DCA flight on United.

Anyway – here it is:

Soon, we’ll be seeing more airline history bite the dust with the exit of the Continental name. I figured it was time to go back and trace the history of the two airlines. As cool as it is, I wish I could say I came up with the idea, but Delta managed to do this on their blog a while back. So as I get ready to say good bye to yet another historic airline brand, I salute Continental.

To Continental/Eastern/Texas International/People Express/Frontier/New York Air, whoever you are: We hardly knew ye.

United Airlines and Continental Airlines Family Tree

(Click image for a larger size you can actually read)

Trip Report: First Flight on United

Greetings to all from Oshkosh! I had a chance to explore the show a bit today and it’s simply amazing. Plane dork heaven.

I wanted to share my thoughts about my journey up here – which involved my first time ever flying United. Generally, I wait to write the trip report until I complete the flight back, but since it’ll be such a crazy week I figured I’d do it now. So here’s my best shot…

I started getting excited for this flight on Thursday. I was traveling with Jon Ostrower (better known as Flightblogger), and since he’s elite with United he’s eligible for upgrades – and ours cleared. I hadn’t flown in a non-economy seat in over ten years, so that was nice.

Fast forward to Saturday.

United Airlines Flight 607 (DCA-ORD)
Aircraft: Airbus A319, Malevolent Skies Colors
Seat: 1D
Pushback: 8:30 AM (5 minutes early)
Takeoff: 9:02 AM
Landing:  9:43 AM (-1 Hour)
Gate Arrival: 9:49 AM (5 minutes late)

I generally prefer taking the Metro to National since it’s cheap and relatively convenient. But because of the weekend schedule that wasn’t a viable option. So instead I booked a cab using the great Taxi Magic app for iPhone the prior evening.

Anyway, the cab showed up at 6am, and I arrived at DCA a few minutes after 6:30, and proceeded to receive my boarding pass at a kiosk with no line. Security was quick, despite getting randomly selected for my palms to get swabbed. I was at the gate by 6:50.

The gate area as already crowded, as the 7:45 am departure had been canceled and people were trying to get accommodated.
Unfortuantely, the agents couldn’t be much help, since they weren’t sure if a couple of future inbound flights to DCA would be canceled. Apparently the weather in Chicago on Friday was pretty rough.

When Jon checked in a bit after me, I found out our connecting flight to Appleton had been cancelled. Great. So I headed over to the gate agent who confirmed that we were on the standby list for the next available ORD-ATW flight (3:18pm).

Soon enough boarding started, and it was certainly nice to be one of the first people down the jetway. The purser quickly came with a tray of water and orange juice (I took the former). Boarding was pretty quick and we ended up pushing back five minutes early, according to United’s cargo website.

We then waited for takeoff for about 20 minutes. This is when I became a bit disappointed with our pilots – there wasn’t a peep from them. Not even a quick welcome aboard (unless I missed it). There wasn’t a mention of how long we were waiting for takeoff – just the required “flight attendants, please prepare for takeoff.” I was also a bit bummed that Channel 9 wasn’t turned on. I know it’s at the captain’s discretion, but it was just a feature I was looking forward to.

Anyway, the in-flight service started pretty quickly after takeoff. Since it’s been so long since I was last in first, I was very happy to have a well….actual glass. The warm banana nut muffins were also very tasty. The purser was really polite, and was checking on us at regular intervals to see we had what we needed.

As for the IFE, I was happy that one of my favorite episodes of 30 Rock was on. That wasn’t what was supposed to be on a westbound flight, however.

For the rest of the flight, I listened to the “Contemporary Pop” station, which mirrors the Top 40, basically. I was happy to hear that it was pretty up to date.

While I listened, I finally got some work done for school that had been looming over my head. I gotta say, this was my first time really
using the iPad for an extended time in flight, and I was pretty happy. I think I might still prefer a laptop, though, especially if there is
Wi-Fi.

Anyway, we begin our descent into ORD which was pretty bumpy for awhile. But looking out the window was fun, as there was a CRJ landing on the parallel runway, and having thrust reversers going on a wet runway always looks cool!

After our arrival, Jon and I headed over to F to see what our hopes were. The next flight, at 3:18, was overbooked and had 20 people on standby already. And if we couldn’t make that flight, the next one wasn’t until about 9pm.

Fortunately, Rod Rakic, founder of myTransponder, was driving from Chicago to Oshkosh, and became aware of our difficulties via Twitter. So we caught a cab downtown to meet up with him.

In the end, we arrived at the house we’re staying around 4:45pm.

Considering flight 6031 pushed back at ORD around the same time, which we may or may not have made, we did pretty well.

Plus, having a drive of three and a half straight hours of aviation talk makes the trip to Oshkosh pretty damn fun!

Overall, I was pretty pleased with United. Flying in First was definitely nice, and I hope it happens on ORD-DCA on the way back. But
since I’m not elite that won’t happen for me next time. In terms of service, I was pretty happy. The airport employees were all fine, but no one stood out. The purser in front was just great. For the flight crew, I had expected more. I mean, obviously, they did a fine job getting us there, but a quick “thanks for flying United today” really would have gone a long way.

Blast From The Past: 1960s United Safety Cards

My friend Martin Rottler sent me a link to his Flickr page a couple of days ago with some old United safety cards. Very old safety cards – from back in the day when it was United Air Lines and not United Airlines. He has posted sets of the DC-8, Caravelle, and Boeing 720.

Is it just me, or was it a bit harder to open emergency exits back then? Not that it looks like it was incredibly difficult to operate them, but to my untrained eye it appears that the manufacturers have made them a bit easier over the years. I’m guessing the rationale there is that making an easier-to-use exit increases the chances of a successful and safe evacuation.

Airlines Complain About Haneda Slots

A short while back the DOT issued a tentative decision about the four slots allocated to American carrier’s at Tokyo’s Haneda airport, which will be opening for international flights this fall. To review – Hawaiian got one slot for Honolulu, American got one for JFK, and Delta got two for Los Angeles and Detroit. The DOT opened up a ten-day comment period, and now that that’s ended let’s take a look at what the airlines had to say.

Unless I’m using Regulations.gov wrong (quite possible!), American didn’t file anything. My guess, they’re happy with their JFK slot. The airline also applied for LAX service, but considering that Delta’s 747 will have 63% more seats than American’s 777, I don’t think they have much of a case there.

Delta’s filing is nothing special. All they said was that they were disappointed that Seattle wasn’t selected, but they are very happy that they received two slots.

So let’s get to the complaints – from Hawaiian, United, and Continental.

Hawaiian

Hawaiian wants a second slot pair, saying that two will “allow it…to compete as a significant player in the U.S.-Tokyo market instead of having to compete from a position of relative weakness against entrenched incumbents.”

The airline also writes that the DOT did not properly consider the size of the Hawaiian market, and also the fact that JAL is trimming capacity there. I think this is an incredibly dumb argument for Hawaiian to be making. I highly doubt that the DOT will take a slot pair away from another carrier and award it to Hawaiian. If anything, talking about how large the market is only makes a good case for Delta’s HNL service, which would provide more capacity with a 747 while only using one slot pair.

United

United was completely shut out of Haneda, with its application for San Francisco service denied. The filing has some interesting arguments, but I’m not sure if they will help since they are essentially variations of the same arguments that the DOT has already seen.

First, the airline writes that while it does not object to one slot going to New  York service, it didn’t like the DOT’s ruling that giving American a slot would stimulate inter-alliance competition, since American and partner JAL already fly to Tokyo from New York, along with airlines in the other major alliances. OK, granted.

But United specifically objected to the awards to Hawaiian and Delta, and says that one of those three slots should be given to them for SFO service.

For Hawaiian, United says that “it is not even clear that Hawaiian’s proposal will generate any significant benefits for Japan-originating passengers, let alone for U.S.-originating traffic.” The airline also says that the focus for Haneda should be on “time-sensitive business travelers.” United also claims that for Hawaiian to introduce new competition, all they need to do is to fly to NRT, which they will be able to do easier than before thanks to the Open Skies agreement.

As for Delta, United says that the Detroit market for O&D is very small, but does offer plenty of connection opportunities. And for Los Angeles, United says that while the O&D market is huge, Delta offers very few connections. So United’s argument here is that San Franciso is a nice blend of these benefits – a strong local market with a hub to support connections nationwide.

Like I said, these are good arguments. But they’re nothing new, so I’m not really expecting to see the DOT change its mind.

Continental

The airline gets bonus points for being the only carrier to have something creative here. The airline (along with subsidiary Continental Mirconesia) applied for Newark and Guam service, and were denied. But the two airlines write that “they are not contesting the basic awards.” Yay, something different! :D They are instead asking for backup authority in case some carriers do not start service.

In its initial ruling, the DOT said they would not do this, writing that “should any of the selected carriers not begin its proposed services, we tentatively find that the public interest would be best served by allowing us to award any unused rights on the basis of a fresh record.should any of the selected carriers notbegin its proposed services, we tentatively find that the public interest would be best served by allowing us to award any unused rights on the basis of a fresh record.”

But Continental has some interesting points here. Like United, they’re doubting Delta’s Detroit route, saying its a small market, and having 747s to each Narita and Haneda might not work. So they’re saying that if Delta doesn’t start or terminate the route, they should be able to fly to Newark, since its the only other service that provides an Eastern hub.

The airline also thinks it should be awarded backup authority for Newark flying if American doesn’t get going on its JFK service, which makes sense.

Finally, Continentla Micronesia believes it should be allowed to fly to Guam if Hawaiian doesn’t start Honolulu flying. I’m not sure if that argument has a lot of merit.

Anyway, we’ll see if the DOT changes its mind at all. United does make a good case for SFO, but with the same arguments as last time I’m not sure if DOT will  be convinced. But I like Continental’s creativity here. Let’s see what the DOT thinks of that.

DOT Splits Up Haneda Slots

Haneda airport has been closed off for long-haul flying for a long time, but that will change later this year when a new runway opens. As part of the new open skies agreement between the US and Japan, American carriers will access to the airport for the first time since 1978. This is big, as Haneda is closer to downtown Tokyo, and as such is viewed as more convenient. The best comparison I can think of (at least in part of the world) is if LaGuardia in New York or Reagan National in Washington were opened for transoceanic flying, if that were possible.

Four slots at the airport were allocated to American carriers, and the DOT was charged with the task of choosing who would get service. Naturally, this is a big deal for the airlines – the prospect of getting access to an attractive  new market where they are shielded from competition is very exciting. But this is also a big decision for the DOT, and I have to think it was a tough choice dealing with such a small number of slots. Plus, the DOT says it had to put its blinders on – the agency said it did not consider the outcomes of the anti-trust immunity applications from American/JAL and United/Continental/ANA.

We had five carriers propose routes – Hawaiian, Delta, American, Continental, and United. I tried to write this carrier-by-carrier, but it just didn’t work out. So here’s a breakdown by city. Karl Swartz over at the Great Circle Mapper made an interesting featured map that shows what was approved (in blue) and what was denied (red):

Honolulu

Two carriers proposed service here. Delta applied for one 747 flight, Hawaiian proposed flying two daily flights from Honolulu, and they received rights for one flight with a 767-300. The airline says they’re going to appeal for the second, but I doubt they’ll get it.

You might be surprised that the DOT selected Honolulu, but it’s actually the largest United States – Japan market. Some airlines argued that Honolulu shouldn’t get any service because it’s a leisure-dominated market, but the DOT argued that the service would provide a boost to Hawaii’s tourism economy.

So why go with Hawaiian, who will inject less capacity? Well, the DOT likes competition. A lot. Hawaiian would be a new entrant into the Hawaii-Japan market, so that seems to be the major motivation for selecting Honolulu and Hawaiian. On a side note, JAL will be starting flights to Honolulu from Haneda later this year as well.

Guam

This one might seem a bit odd, too, but it’s the second-largest Japan-US market. Continental Micronesia applied for one with with a 767-400, and was denied. The DOT acknowledged that there would be economic benefits if the service was approved, but didn’t find it worthwhile. Unlike Hawaiian’s proposal, this would not add any new competition. DOT also believes that using the other slots for mainland service is a better use of them.

Los Angeles/San Francisco/Seattle

From the way I read the filing, it looks like DOT looked at the West Coast as a whole here, so I’ll do the same. Delta applied for a flight from Seattle (A330-300) and Los Angeles (747-400). American applied for Los Angeles (777-200), and not surprisingly, United applied for service from San Francisco. Seattle was denied, and I’m not really shocked. It’s one of the smaller markets that were up for consideration, and with only three slots left to work with DOT was looking for other options, and it ended up going with Delta out of Los Angeles, and that one makes sense – it’s the largest mainland-Japan market. DOT also went with Delta because the flights would be using 747s, introducing most capacity. From a connecting standpoint I think San Francisco opens up more opportunities but I can see DOT’s reasoning here.

Also worth noting is that JAL is cutting SFO-Narita service and moving it over to Haneda later this year.

Detroit

Yep, this was yet another Delta application. The carrier applied for all four slots and wanted to see what would stick. Despite this being the smallest market that DOT was looking at, they gave it to Delta because of connecting opportunities, which makes sense. Even if San Francisco were approved, that wouldn’t be very convenient for passengers in the Eastern half of the country who were flying United, while Delta has an expansive domestic network out of Detroit. (Now that I think of it, why didn’t United try for Chicago service here? I feel if they had they would’ve beat Delta if they had.) Plus Delta using a 747 probably helps, too.

New York

DOT saved New York, the second-largest mainland-Tokyo market, for last. Continental applied for flights out of Newark, and American applied for JFK. Both flights would be flown with 777-200s. The DOT ended up going with American, saying that “should enhance alliance competition by improving the competitive posture of American and oneworld in the U.S.-Asia market as compared to the Skyteam and Star alliances”. (Which is very true – take a look at this graph.) I can see that argument, but I still would have gone with Continental instead. The DOT was looking at connecting opportunities for other cities, and in that department, Continental wins by a long shot.

So when does this all start? Uhm, later this year. The DOT says service will start within 90 days of October 31, but the service is also contingent on the US and Japan signing the final agreement, and the completion of the runway at Haneda. Plus, there’s now a few days left to object to the tentative ruling, though I don’t see much changing at this point.